**Diverging short-range model outputs for cloud cover, timing of showers, and solar insolation on September 3 are the main drivers keeping the 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 % and 41 % implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) normally moderates daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 23 °C, but reduced cloud fraction in some guidance (e.g., Met Office and select global ensembles) could allow greater radiative heating and push the peak 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, persistent low- to mid-level moisture and afternoon convection—common during the North American monsoon transition—would cap temperatures closer to 24–25 °C. With resolution only hours away, the next model cycles and any official CONAGUA or NWS updates on boundary-layer stability and precipitable water will determine whether the market tilts toward the upper or lower side of the current 25–26 °C cluster.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 3?
26°C 43%
25°C 37%
27°C or higher 14%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
37%
26°C
43%
27°C or higher
14%
26°C 43%
25°C 37%
27°C or higher 14%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$172 Vol.
7%
25°C
$120 Vol.
37%
26°C
$208 Vol.
43%
27°C or higher
$189 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Diverging short-range model outputs for cloud cover, timing of showers, and solar insolation on September 3 are the main drivers keeping the 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 % and 41 % implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) normally moderates daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 23 °C, but reduced cloud fraction in some guidance (e.g., Met Office and select global ensembles) could allow greater radiative heating and push the peak 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, persistent low- to mid-level moisture and afternoon convection—common during the North American monsoon transition—would cap temperatures closer to 24–25 °C. With resolution only hours away, the next model cycles and any official CONAGUA or NWS updates on boundary-layer stability and precipitable water will determine whether the market tilts toward the upper or lower side of the current 25–26 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,221শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Diverging short-range model outputs for cloud cover, timing of showers, and solar insolation on September 3 are the main drivers keeping the 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 % and 41 % implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) normally moderates daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 23 °C, but reduced cloud fraction in some guidance (e.g., Met Office and select global ensembles) could allow greater radiative heating and push the peak 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, persistent low- to mid-level moisture and afternoon convection—common during the North American monsoon transition—would cap temperatures closer to 24–25 °C. With resolution only hours away, the next model cycles and any official CONAGUA or NWS updates on boundary-layer stability and precipitable water will determine whether the market tilts toward the upper or lower side of the current 25–26 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,221শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Diverging short-range model outputs for cloud cover, timing of showers, and solar insolation on September 3 are the main drivers keeping the 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes nearly tied at 36.5 % and 41 % implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) normally moderates daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 23 °C, but reduced cloud fraction in some guidance (e.g., Met Office and select global ensembles) could allow greater radiative heating and push the peak 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, persistent low- to mid-level moisture and afternoon convection—common during the North American monsoon transition—would cap temperatures closer to 24–25 °C. With resolution only hours away, the next model cycles and any official CONAGUA or NWS updates on boundary-layer stability and precipitable water will determine whether the market tilts toward the upper or lower side of the current 25–26 °C cluster.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা