Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model runs and national centers, indicate a mild synoptic pattern with southwesterly flow advecting moderate air masses into the Moscow region, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 4. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 18.7°C. No significant model disagreements or incoming fronts appear poised to shift outcomes substantially before resolution, positioning the 21°C and 22°C contracts as the primary focus of trader consensus. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any probability adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 4?
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
20°C 12%
19°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
54%
22°C
32%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
20°C 12%
19°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
16°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$192 Vol.
3%
20°C
$91 Vol.
12%
21°C
$535 Vol.
54%
22°C
$85 Vol.
32%
23°C
$335 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$35 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model runs and national centers, indicate a mild synoptic pattern with southwesterly flow advecting moderate air masses into the Moscow region, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 4. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 18.7°C. No significant model disagreements or incoming fronts appear poised to shift outcomes substantially before resolution, positioning the 21°C and 22°C contracts as the primary focus of trader consensus. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,366শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model runs and national centers, indicate a mild synoptic pattern with southwesterly flow advecting moderate air masses into the Moscow region, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 4. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 18.7°C. No significant model disagreements or incoming fronts appear poised to shift outcomes substantially before resolution, positioning the 21°C and 22°C contracts as the primary focus of trader consensus. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,366শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including GFS model runs and national centers, indicate a mild synoptic pattern with southwesterly flow advecting moderate air masses into the Moscow region, supporting a daytime maximum near 21°C on September 4. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most solutions clustering between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early September climatology but slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 18.7°C. No significant model disagreements or incoming fronts appear poised to shift outcomes substantially before resolution, positioning the 21°C and 22°C contracts as the primary focus of trader consensus. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for any probability adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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