Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 37–39 °C in Madrid on September 4 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 39 °C (55 % implied probability) and 40 °C (22.5 %), as afternoon maxima are expected to reach or slightly exceed the 2016 record of 37 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with dry conditions and temperatures 8–10 °C above the September climatological average of ~29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts that could alter the exact daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on September 4?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 4?
39°C 55%
40°C 23%
38°C 19%
37°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
6%
38°C
19%
39°C
55%
40°C
23%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
39°C 55%
40°C 23%
38°C 19%
37°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
33°C or below
$65 Vol.
1%
34°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$23 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C
$47 Vol.
6%
38°C
$335 Vol.
19%
39°C
$419 Vol.
55%
40°C
$202 Vol.
23%
41°C
$60 Vol.
1%
42°C
$65 Vol.
1%
43°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 37–39 °C in Madrid on September 4 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 39 °C (55 % implied probability) and 40 °C (22.5 %), as afternoon maxima are expected to reach or slightly exceed the 2016 record of 37 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with dry conditions and temperatures 8–10 °C above the September climatological average of ~29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts that could alter the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,310শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 37–39 °C in Madrid on September 4 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 39 °C (55 % implied probability) and 40 °C (22.5 %), as afternoon maxima are expected to reach or slightly exceed the 2016 record of 37 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with dry conditions and temperatures 8–10 °C above the September climatological average of ~29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts that could alter the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,310শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a peak temperature of 37–39 °C in Madrid on September 4 under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a strong high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 39 °C (55 % implied probability) and 40 °C (22.5 %), as afternoon maxima are expected to reach or slightly exceed the 2016 record of 37 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with dry conditions and temperatures 8–10 °C above the September climatological average of ~29 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates for any late adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts that could alter the exact daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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