Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high in the mid- to upper 90s for Austin, with partly cloudy skies, south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. Tropical moisture lingering from earlier in the week has already produced a modest cooldown from Tuesday’s near-100°F readings, introducing variability in how much solar radiation reaches the surface. This uncertainty—centered on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and any late-day clearing—explains the market’s broad distribution across the low-to-mid 90s rather than a tight cluster around one bin. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.