**Current model consensus from sources like KNMI guidance, GFS, and European ensembles points to a mild, cloudy day on September 4 with daytime highs most likely reaching 21–22°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow advects maritime polar air across the Netherlands, supporting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) across multiple runs, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (49.5%) and 21°C (28.5%). Recent short-range updates reinforce this range: models show limited diurnal warming due to high humidity, rain-cooled air, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds (15–25 mph gusts) that enhance mixing. Historical early-September averages near Amsterdam (Schiphol) are ~20–21°C, and no strong ridge or clear-sky episode is expected to push temperatures notably higher. The modest 16.5% on 23°C and lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts or clearing before the day ends, while cooler outcomes remain possible only with heavier rain or earlier frontal passage. Traders appear to be pricing the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the stabilizing effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on the official KNMI or equivalent maximum reading for the Amsterdam area.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 8%
20°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
37%
22°C
50%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
21°C 37%
23°C 8%
20°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
$188 Vol.
1%
18°C
$133 Vol.
1%
19°C
$180 Vol.
2%
20°C
$164 Vol.
6%
21°C
$434 Vol.
37%
22°C
$873 Vol.
50%
23°C
$766 Vol.
8%
24°C
$179 Vol.
2%
25°C
$174 Vol.
1%
26°C
$116 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like KNMI guidance, GFS, and European ensembles points to a mild, cloudy day on September 4 with daytime highs most likely reaching 21–22°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow advects maritime polar air across the Netherlands, supporting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) across multiple runs, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (49.5%) and 21°C (28.5%).
Recent short-range updates reinforce this range: models show limited diurnal warming due to high humidity, rain-cooled air, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds (15–25 mph gusts) that enhance mixing. Historical early-September averages near Amsterdam (Schiphol) are ~20–21°C, and no strong ridge or clear-sky episode is expected to push temperatures notably higher. The modest 16.5% on 23°C and lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts or clearing before the day ends, while cooler outcomes remain possible only with heavier rain or earlier frontal passage.
Traders appear to be pricing the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the stabilizing effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on the official KNMI or equivalent maximum reading for the Amsterdam area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,377শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like KNMI guidance, GFS, and European ensembles points to a mild, cloudy day on September 4 with daytime highs most likely reaching 21–22°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow advects maritime polar air across the Netherlands, supporting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) across multiple runs, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (49.5%) and 21°C (28.5%).
Recent short-range updates reinforce this range: models show limited diurnal warming due to high humidity, rain-cooled air, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds (15–25 mph gusts) that enhance mixing. Historical early-September averages near Amsterdam (Schiphol) are ~20–21°C, and no strong ridge or clear-sky episode is expected to push temperatures notably higher. The modest 16.5% on 23°C and lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts or clearing before the day ends, while cooler outcomes remain possible only with heavier rain or earlier frontal passage.
Traders appear to be pricing the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the stabilizing effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on the official KNMI or equivalent maximum reading for the Amsterdam area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,377শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from sources like KNMI guidance, GFS, and European ensembles points to a mild, cloudy day on September 4 with daytime highs most likely reaching 21–22°C.** Persistent southwesterly flow advects maritime polar air across the Netherlands, supporting widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that cap surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 20–22°C (roughly 68–72°F) across multiple runs, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (49.5%) and 21°C (28.5%). Recent short-range updates reinforce this range: models show limited diurnal warming due to high humidity, rain-cooled air, and moderate-to-strong westerly winds (15–25 mph gusts) that enhance mixing. Historical early-September averages near Amsterdam (Schiphol) are ~20–21°C, and no strong ridge or clear-sky episode is expected to push temperatures notably higher. The modest 16.5% on 23°C and lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts or clearing before the day ends, while cooler outcomes remain possible only with heavier rain or earlier frontal passage. Traders appear to be pricing the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the stabilizing effect of ongoing precipitation, with resolution hinging on the official KNMI or equivalent maximum reading for the Amsterdam area.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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