Southwest monsoon influences over Luzon are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Manila, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of the typical August range of 24–27°C. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 project a minimum of 25°C under 60% rain chances, consistent with recent observed minima of 24.4–24.5°C and climatological baselines. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 25–28°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects reduce the likelihood of deeper cooling below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or localized showers remain key variables that could refine the distribution before daily resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 21?
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 35%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
58%
24°C
58%
25°C
59%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
45%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 35%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$49 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
58%
24°C
$104 Vol.
58%
25°C
$94 Vol.
59%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$10 Vol.
45%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon influences over Luzon are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Manila, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of the typical August range of 24–27°C. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 project a minimum of 25°C under 60% rain chances, consistent with recent observed minima of 24.4–24.5°C and climatological baselines. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 25–28°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects reduce the likelihood of deeper cooling below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or localized showers remain key variables that could refine the distribution before daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ভলিউম
$775শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon influences over Luzon are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Manila, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of the typical August range of 24–27°C. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 project a minimum of 25°C under 60% rain chances, consistent with recent observed minima of 24.4–24.5°C and climatological baselines. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 25–28°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects reduce the likelihood of deeper cooling below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or localized showers remain key variables that could refine the distribution before daily resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$775শেষ তারিখ
Aug 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon influences over Luzon are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Manila, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of the typical August range of 24–27°C. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 project a minimum of 25°C under 60% rain chances, consistent with recent observed minima of 24.4–24.5°C and climatological baselines. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 25–28°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and urban heat effects reduce the likelihood of deeper cooling below 24°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon intensity or localized showers remain key variables that could refine the distribution before daily resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা