Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow over Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's overnight lows clustered near 24–27°C on August 23, with PAGASA forecasting a 24–29°C range and 80% rain probability under widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This pattern suppresses strong diurnal temperature swings by limiting solar heating while enhancing downward longwave radiation and moisture, which prevents rapid nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 24–26°C, but small differences in convective timing, wind speed, or localized urban heat retention can shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched market outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
21%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
21%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow over Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's overnight lows clustered near 24–27°C on August 23, with PAGASA forecasting a 24–29°C range and 80% rain probability under widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This pattern suppresses strong diurnal temperature swings by limiting solar heating while enhancing downward longwave radiation and moisture, which prevents rapid nighttime cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 24–26°C, but small differences in convective timing, wind speed, or localized urban heat retention can shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched market outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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