Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon driving persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds over Metro Manila, which limit daytime heating while keeping overnight radiative cooling modest. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C seasonal norm for mid-September, with most guidance showing lows no lower than 24–26°C amid high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, or wind direction could nudge the exact low across the 24–26°C thresholds, while the slim odds of 20°C or below reflect historical rarity under current monsoon conditions and the low probability of stronger cooling. Updated official forecasts and higher-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 62%
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
28%
25°C
33%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
62%
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 62%
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
28%
25°C
33%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon driving persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds over Metro Manila, which limit daytime heating while keeping overnight radiative cooling modest. This setup supports minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C seasonal norm for mid-September, with most guidance showing lows no lower than 24–26°C amid high humidity. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in precipitation timing, cloud thickness, or wind direction could nudge the exact low across the 24–26°C thresholds, while the slim odds of 20°C or below reflect historical rarity under current monsoon conditions and the low probability of stronger cooling. Updated official forecasts and higher-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা