**Forecast model spreads for Munich's overnight minimum on September 16 show notable divergence between cooler and milder scenarios, driving the near-even split in trader probabilities.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate a mix of showers and variable cloud cover that could either enhance radiative cooling—potentially pushing the low toward or below the 8–10 °C range—or maintain warmer boundary-layer temperatures near 12–14 °C under thicker clouds and southerly flow. Historical climatology places the September 16 average low at 10 °C, with extremes from near 0 °C to the mid-teens, underscoring the genuine uncertainty at this lead time. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and shift market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Munich on September 16?
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
8°C or below
96%
9°C
19%
10°C
38%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
23%
14°C
39%
15°C
37%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
96%
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
8°C or below
96%
9°C
19%
10°C
38%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
23%
14°C
39%
15°C
37%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spreads for Munich's overnight minimum on September 16 show notable divergence between cooler and milder scenarios, driving the near-even split in trader probabilities.** Official guidance and ensemble runs indicate a mix of showers and variable cloud cover that could either enhance radiative cooling—potentially pushing the low toward or below the 8–10 °C range—or maintain warmer boundary-layer temperatures near 12–14 °C under thicker clouds and southerly flow. Historical climatology places the September 16 average low at 10 °C, with extremes from near 0 °C to the mid-teens, underscoring the genuine uncertainty at this lead time. Upcoming high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range and shift market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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