Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on September 14?
28°C 41%
27°C 33%
31°C or higher 16%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
35%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
16%
28°C 41%
27°C 33%
31°C or higher 16%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
13%
27°C
33%
28°C
35%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies, light southerly winds shifting northeast, and a maximum temperature near 27–28°C for Beijing on September 14, consistent with climatological norms of 26–27°C for mid-month. Low precipitation chances and stable high pressure support this range, with minimal model spread noted in the latest runs. Trader-implied odds favoring 31°C or higher at 49% reflect uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the potential for warmer anomalies if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify, while the cluster around 27–30°C captures baseline expectations. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা