Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France runs as of August 29, indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with persistent southwesterly flow. This pattern limits radiative cooling compared to clear, calm conditions, while moderate humidity and residual moisture from recent showers maintain elevated minimum temperatures above the long-term August 31 average low of 13.4°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 39.5% for 16°C, aligns with hourly guidance showing the daily minimum occurring around dawn before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any last-minute model shifts, but the near-term outlook supports these two outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
17°C 51%
16°C 40%
18°C 14%
13°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
7%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C
40%
17°C
51%
18°C
14%
19°C
11%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
7%
17°C 51%
16°C 40%
18°C 14%
13°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
13%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$18 Vol.
40%
17°C
$33 Vol.
51%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France runs as of August 29, indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with persistent southwesterly flow. This pattern limits radiative cooling compared to clear, calm conditions, while moderate humidity and residual moisture from recent showers maintain elevated minimum temperatures above the long-term August 31 average low of 13.4°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 39.5% for 16°C, aligns with hourly guidance showing the daily minimum occurring around dawn before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any last-minute model shifts, but the near-term outlook supports these two outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$51শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France runs as of August 29, indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with persistent southwesterly flow. This pattern limits radiative cooling compared to clear, calm conditions, while moderate humidity and residual moisture from recent showers maintain elevated minimum temperatures above the long-term August 31 average low of 13.4°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 39.5% for 16°C, aligns with hourly guidance showing the daily minimum occurring around dawn before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any last-minute model shifts, but the near-term outlook supports these two outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$51শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France runs as of August 29, indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 31 will likely settle near 16–17°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with persistent southwesterly flow. This pattern limits radiative cooling compared to clear, calm conditions, while moderate humidity and residual moisture from recent showers maintain elevated minimum temperatures above the long-term August 31 average low of 13.4°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 39.5% for 16°C, aligns with hourly guidance showing the daily minimum occurring around dawn before daytime warming to the mid-20s. Uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any last-minute model shifts, but the near-term outlook supports these two outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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