**Current forecast models indicate a partly cloudy night on August 31–September 1 with light west-to-northwest winds and no significant frontal systems, supporting overnight radiative cooling that produces minimum temperatures clustered around 12–15°C.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on daytime highs near 23–24°C and lows typically 13–14°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 37%, 14°C at 33%). Slight spread in outcomes arises from modest differences in cloud cover timing, dew-point depression, and exact wind speeds during the predawn hours, when the daily minimum usually occurs. These conditions align with early-September climatology for Paris, where clear or broken skies under building high pressure often yield minima in this narrow band. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the most recent model runs and local observations that continue to favor 13–14°C as the narrow favorite while leaving room for small revisions from the final forecast updates.