**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position the minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon at 25°C on August 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only modest precipitation chances.** This drives the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C, as traders align closely with authoritative short-range guidance showing a minimum of 25°C and maximum near 33°C. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the Korean peninsula, with recent mornings near 24–26°C, support the clustered probabilities around 24–26°C (totaling over 100% combined implied weight). Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines for mid-August (typical overnight lows 22–25°C) further anchor expectations, while low-probability tails below 23°C or above 27°C reflect limited upside from cloud cover or any unforecasted cooling. With resolution just two days away, updated KMA briefings and high-resolution model runs will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
25°C 50%
26°C 24%
27°C 6%
22°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
30%
25°C
50%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 24%
27°C 6%
22°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$50 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$20 Vol.
5%
24°C
$50 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$81 Vol.
6%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$55 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position the minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon at 25°C on August 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only modest precipitation chances.** This drives the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C, as traders align closely with authoritative short-range guidance showing a minimum of 25°C and maximum near 33°C.
Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the Korean peninsula, with recent mornings near 24–26°C, support the clustered probabilities around 24–26°C (totaling over 100% combined implied weight). Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines for mid-August (typical overnight lows 22–25°C) further anchor expectations, while low-probability tails below 23°C or above 27°C reflect limited upside from cloud cover or any unforecasted cooling.
With resolution just two days away, updated KMA briefings and high-resolution model runs will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$577শেষ তারিখ
Aug 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position the minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon at 25°C on August 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only modest precipitation chances.** This drives the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C, as traders align closely with authoritative short-range guidance showing a minimum of 25°C and maximum near 33°C.
Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the Korean peninsula, with recent mornings near 24–26°C, support the clustered probabilities around 24–26°C (totaling over 100% combined implied weight). Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines for mid-August (typical overnight lows 22–25°C) further anchor expectations, while low-probability tails below 23°C or above 27°C reflect limited upside from cloud cover or any unforecasted cooling.
With resolution just two days away, updated KMA briefings and high-resolution model runs will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$577শেষ তারিখ
Aug 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position the minimum temperature in Seoul/Incheon at 25°C on August 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with only modest precipitation chances.** This drives the leading 48.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C, as traders align closely with authoritative short-range guidance showing a minimum of 25°C and maximum near 33°C. Persistent late-summer heat and humidity across the Korean peninsula, with recent mornings near 24–26°C, support the clustered probabilities around 24–26°C (totaling over 100% combined implied weight). Ensemble model consensus and climatological baselines for mid-August (typical overnight lows 22–25°C) further anchor expectations, while low-probability tails below 23°C or above 27°C reflect limited upside from cloud cover or any unforecasted cooling. With resolution just two days away, updated KMA briefings and high-resolution model runs will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা