Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 18°C for Tokyo on June 15, with rain and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate overnight cooling during the early tsuyu season. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, as numerical weather prediction models exhibit minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical June minima average around 18–19°C, providing climatological context, yet the short forecast horizon means the latest model runs and observational updates from surface stations will determine final resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range rather than broader seasonal trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
18°C 40%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
20°C 4.7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
21%
18°C
40%
19°C
36%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
20°C 4.7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
21%
18°C
40%
19°C
36%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 18°C for Tokyo on June 15, with rain and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate overnight cooling during the early tsuyu season. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, as numerical weather prediction models exhibit minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical June minima average around 18–19°C, providing climatological context, yet the short forecast horizon means the latest model runs and observational updates from surface stations will determine final resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range rather than broader seasonal trends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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