High uncertainty in short-term numerical weather prediction models for central Europe is driving the closely matched Polymarket odds, with 6°C or below, 16°C or higher, and 10°C each implying roughly 30-32% probability. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs show spread in the position of a weak trough and associated cold-air advection over Poland, where small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing can swing the daily minimum several degrees. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average lows near 10-12°C, but recent model consensus indicates variable cloud cover and possible northerly flow that could suppress or enhance radiational cooling overnight. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates and any revised guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 16?
6°C or below 64%
16°C or higher 64%
9°C 38%
7°C 37%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
64%
7°C
37%
8°C
21%
9°C
38%
10°C
31%
11°C
24%
12°C
21%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C or higher
64%
6°C or below 64%
16°C or higher 64%
9°C 38%
7°C 37%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 16, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
64%
7°C
$0 Vol.
37%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
31%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$50 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-term numerical weather prediction models for central Europe is driving the closely matched Polymarket odds, with 6°C or below, 16°C or higher, and 10°C each implying roughly 30-32% probability. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs show spread in the position of a weak trough and associated cold-air advection over Poland, where small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing can swing the daily minimum several degrees. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average lows near 10-12°C, but recent model consensus indicates variable cloud cover and possible northerly flow that could suppress or enhance radiational cooling overnight. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates and any revised guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$50শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-term numerical weather prediction models for central Europe is driving the closely matched Polymarket odds, with 6°C or below, 16°C or higher, and 10°C each implying roughly 30-32% probability. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs show spread in the position of a weak trough and associated cold-air advection over Poland, where small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing can swing the daily minimum several degrees. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average lows near 10-12°C, but recent model consensus indicates variable cloud cover and possible northerly flow that could suppress or enhance radiational cooling overnight. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates and any revised guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$50শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in short-term numerical weather prediction models for central Europe is driving the closely matched Polymarket odds, with 6°C or below, 16°C or higher, and 10°C each implying roughly 30-32% probability. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System runs show spread in the position of a weak trough and associated cold-air advection over Poland, where small shifts in 850 hPa temperatures or boundary-layer mixing can swing the daily minimum several degrees. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places average lows near 10-12°C, but recent model consensus indicates variable cloud cover and possible northerly flow that could suppress or enhance radiational cooling overnight. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates and any revised guidance from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা