Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
7°C or below 48%
17°C or higher 44%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
7°C or below
48%
8°C
18%
9°C
5%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
44%
7°C or below 48%
17°C or higher 44%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
7°C or below
48%
8°C
18%
9°C
5%
10°C
26%
11°C
32%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate overnight lows near 11–14°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a transitional early-autumn pattern following recent cooler nights with minima as low as 5–8°C. Trader consensus around 10–12°C outcomes reflects this spread across ensemble members, plus uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow further cooling. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the close probabilities across 7–13°C bins, with new model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour period ends.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা