**Latest numerical weather prediction models show overnight lows in Warsaw on September 22 most likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a northwest wind shift and partial clearing after Monday’s frontal passage.** Persistent showers and westerly flow on the 21st will give way to drier but cooler conditions, with dew points near 8–10 °C limiting radiative cooling yet allowing the mercury to dip below the recent daily average. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small differences in cloud cover or shower timing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical late-September climatology places typical overnight lows near 9 °C, anchoring trader focus on the 8–12 °C cluster even as the 4 °C-or-below and 14 °C-or-higher tails each command roughly 46 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS before sunset on the 21st will be the next key catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
4°C or below 90%
14°C or higher 90%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
4°C or below
90%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
35%
8°C
26%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
36%
13°C
16%
14°C or higher
90%
4°C or below 90%
14°C or higher 90%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
4°C or below
90%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
35%
8°C
26%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
18%
12°C
36%
13°C
16%
14°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models show overnight lows in Warsaw on September 22 most likely falling between 9–12 °C, driven by a northwest wind shift and partial clearing after Monday’s frontal passage.** Persistent showers and westerly flow on the 21st will give way to drier but cooler conditions, with dew points near 8–10 °C limiting radiative cooling yet allowing the mercury to dip below the recent daily average. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small differences in cloud cover or shower timing can shift the minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical late-September climatology places typical overnight lows near 9 °C, anchoring trader focus on the 8–12 °C cluster even as the 4 °C-or-below and 14 °C-or-higher tails each command roughly 46 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and GFS before sunset on the 21st will be the next key catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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