Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 19 will most likely fall between 7–11°C, driven by a shift from northerly to westerly flows under lingering El Niño conditions that enhance temperature variability and occasional cold outbreaks during spring. Radiative cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover and wind speeds, with coastal moderation limiting extremes compared to inland sites. Historical September lows average near 9°C, providing context for current model consensus. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 7°C amid these signals, while the low odds on 4°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of strong southerly intrusions in the short term before the next model update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
8°C 40%
7°C 38%
9°C 30%
6°C 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
2%
5°C
11%
6°C
19%
7°C
38%
8°C
40%
9°C
30%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
5%
8°C 40%
7°C 38%
9°C 30%
6°C 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
5°C
$0 Vol.
11%
6°C
$0 Vol.
19%
7°C
$0 Vol.
38%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$6 Vol.
30%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 19 will most likely fall between 7–11°C, driven by a shift from northerly to westerly flows under lingering El Niño conditions that enhance temperature variability and occasional cold outbreaks during spring. Radiative cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover and wind speeds, with coastal moderation limiting extremes compared to inland sites. Historical September lows average near 9°C, providing context for current model consensus. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 7°C amid these signals, while the low odds on 4°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of strong southerly intrusions in the short term before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6শেষ তারিখ
Sep 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 19 will most likely fall between 7–11°C, driven by a shift from northerly to westerly flows under lingering El Niño conditions that enhance temperature variability and occasional cold outbreaks during spring. Radiative cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover and wind speeds, with coastal moderation limiting extremes compared to inland sites. Historical September lows average near 9°C, providing context for current model consensus. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 7°C amid these signals, while the low odds on 4°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of strong southerly intrusions in the short term before the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$6শেষ তারিখ
Sep 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on September 19 will most likely fall between 7–11°C, driven by a shift from northerly to westerly flows under lingering El Niño conditions that enhance temperature variability and occasional cold outbreaks during spring. Radiative cooling overnight will depend on cloud cover and wind speeds, with coastal moderation limiting extremes compared to inland sites. Historical September lows average near 9°C, providing context for current model consensus. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 7°C amid these signals, while the low odds on 4°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of strong southerly intrusions in the short term before the next model update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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