Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds will likely produce a minimum temperature near 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 18. Mid-September climatology for the region features average lows around 18–20°C, but current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity near 60–70% and weak pressure gradients—favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 17°C incorporates the latest short-range model runs showing this threshold as the most probable outcome, while the 33.5% on 16°C accounts for modest downside risk if skies clear further. Official station data and any final model updates before midnight will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 18?
15°C or below 63%
16°C 30%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
15°C or below
63%
16°C
30%
17°C
71%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 63%
16°C 30%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
15°C or below
63%
16°C
30%
17°C
71%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds will likely produce a minimum temperature near 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 18. Mid-September climatology for the region features average lows around 18–20°C, but current atmospheric conditions—moderate humidity near 60–70% and weak pressure gradients—favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection of warmer air. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 17°C incorporates the latest short-range model runs showing this threshold as the most probable outcome, while the 33.5% on 16°C accounts for modest downside risk if skies clear further. Official station data and any final model updates before midnight will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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