Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and not-guilty plea. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges tied to his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while emphasizing distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 permits additional filings, potential plea negotiations, or diplomatic shifts that could alter outcomes before a jury verdict. With no major developments reported since the trial date was set in July 2026, trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% "No" probability accounts for these procedural hurdles and the possibility of convictions on fewer than all counts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড29% সম্ভাবনা
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
29% সম্ভাবনা
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and not-guilty plea. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges tied to his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while emphasizing distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 permits additional filings, potential plea negotiations, or diplomatic shifts that could alter outcomes before a jury verdict. With no major developments reported since the trial date was set in July 2026, trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% "No" probability accounts for these procedural hurdles and the possibility of convictions on fewer than all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$126,284শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and not-guilty plea. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges tied to his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while emphasizing distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 permits additional filings, potential plea negotiations, or diplomatic shifts that could alter outcomes before a jury verdict. With no major developments reported since the trial date was set in July 2026, trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% "No" probability accounts for these procedural hurdles and the possibility of convictions on fewer than all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$126,284শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in the Southern District of New York on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and not-guilty plea. Defense counsel has signaled intent to file motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges tied to his removal from Venezuela, drawing on precedents like the Noriega case while emphasizing distinctions. The extended pretrial window through late 2026 permits additional filings, potential plea negotiations, or diplomatic shifts that could alter outcomes before a jury verdict. With no major developments reported since the trial date was set in July 2026, trader consensus reflected in the 71.5% "No" probability accounts for these procedural hurdles and the possibility of convictions on fewer than all counts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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