Brazil’s Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite repeated petitions, most targeting Alexandre de Moraes, reflecting deep institutional reluctance to remove sitting justices. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further raised procedural thresholds by limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor-General and requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, with Senate leadership consistently declining to advance cases. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ 96.6% consensus on “No” before 2027. A decisive post-election Senate majority shift or an unforeseen major scandal could still reopen proceedings, though both remain low-probability developments within the brief remaining window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite repeated petitions, most targeting Alexandre de Moraes, reflecting deep institutional reluctance to remove sitting justices. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further raised procedural thresholds by limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor-General and requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, with Senate leadership consistently declining to advance cases. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ 96.6% consensus on “No” before 2027. A decisive post-election Senate majority shift or an unforeseen major scandal could still reopen proceedings, though both remain low-probability developments within the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite repeated petitions, most targeting Alexandre de Moraes, reflecting deep institutional reluctance to remove sitting justices. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further raised procedural thresholds by limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor-General and requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, with Senate leadership consistently declining to advance cases. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ 96.6% consensus on “No” before 2027. A decisive post-election Senate majority shift or an unforeseen major scandal could still reopen proceedings, though both remain low-probability developments within the brief remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate has never impeached an STF justice despite repeated petitions, most targeting Alexandre de Moraes, reflecting deep institutional reluctance to remove sitting justices. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes further raised procedural thresholds by limiting standing primarily to the Prosecutor-General and requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, with Senate leadership consistently declining to advance cases. These structural and political barriers underpin traders’ 96.6% consensus on “No” before 2027. A decisive post-election Senate majority shift or an unforeseen major scandal could still reopen proceedings, though both remain low-probability developments within the brief remaining window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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