**High trader consensus on "No" (96.6%) reflects the steep procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Impeachment complaints against justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes have accumulated in the Senate since 2025, including multiple filings tied to rulings on social media, Bolsonaro-related cases, and a 2026 congressional report on the Banco Master matter that recommended proceedings against Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. Senate leadership has dismissed or slowed these efforts, while STF rulings (notably by Mendes in late 2025) have narrowed who may file complaints and raised the Senate threshold, prompting congressional pushback but no successful removal. The remaining window to year-end 2026 is narrow, and any Senate vote requires broad cross-party support that has not materialized despite opposition pressure linked to Bolsonaro’s 2025 conviction. Historical precedent shows no recent STF justice removals via impeachment, and the process demands sustained legislative momentum that current Senate composition and timing make improbable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a post-2026 election Senate realignment producing unexpected majorities willing to advance complaints rapidly, or an unforeseen major scandal generating sudden bipartisan consensus—though both face significant institutional and calendar constraints before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$83,546 Vol.
$83,546 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader consensus on "No" (96.6%) reflects the steep procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Impeachment complaints against justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes have accumulated in the Senate since 2025, including multiple filings tied to rulings on social media, Bolsonaro-related cases, and a 2026 congressional report on the Banco Master matter that recommended proceedings against Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. Senate leadership has dismissed or slowed these efforts, while STF rulings (notably by Mendes in late 2025) have narrowed who may file complaints and raised the Senate threshold, prompting congressional pushback but no successful removal.
The remaining window to year-end 2026 is narrow, and any Senate vote requires broad cross-party support that has not materialized despite opposition pressure linked to Bolsonaro’s 2025 conviction. Historical precedent shows no recent STF justice removals via impeachment, and the process demands sustained legislative momentum that current Senate composition and timing make improbable.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a post-2026 election Senate realignment producing unexpected majorities willing to advance complaints rapidly, or an unforeseen major scandal generating sudden bipartisan consensus—though both face significant institutional and calendar constraints before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader consensus on "No" (96.6%) reflects the steep procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Impeachment complaints against justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes have accumulated in the Senate since 2025, including multiple filings tied to rulings on social media, Bolsonaro-related cases, and a 2026 congressional report on the Banco Master matter that recommended proceedings against Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. Senate leadership has dismissed or slowed these efforts, while STF rulings (notably by Mendes in late 2025) have narrowed who may file complaints and raised the Senate threshold, prompting congressional pushback but no successful removal.
The remaining window to year-end 2026 is narrow, and any Senate vote requires broad cross-party support that has not materialized despite opposition pressure linked to Bolsonaro’s 2025 conviction. Historical precedent shows no recent STF justice removals via impeachment, and the process demands sustained legislative momentum that current Senate composition and timing make improbable.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a post-2026 election Senate realignment producing unexpected majorities willing to advance complaints rapidly, or an unforeseen major scandal generating sudden bipartisan consensus—though both face significant institutional and calendar constraints before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$83,546শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**High trader consensus on "No" (96.6%) reflects the steep procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Impeachment complaints against justices such as Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes have accumulated in the Senate since 2025, including multiple filings tied to rulings on social media, Bolsonaro-related cases, and a 2026 congressional report on the Banco Master matter that recommended proceedings against Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes. Senate leadership has dismissed or slowed these efforts, while STF rulings (notably by Mendes in late 2025) have narrowed who may file complaints and raised the Senate threshold, prompting congressional pushback but no successful removal. The remaining window to year-end 2026 is narrow, and any Senate vote requires broad cross-party support that has not materialized despite opposition pressure linked to Bolsonaro’s 2025 conviction. Historical precedent shows no recent STF justice removals via impeachment, and the process demands sustained legislative momentum that current Senate composition and timing make improbable. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a post-2026 election Senate realignment producing unexpected majorities willing to advance complaints rapidly, or an unforeseen major scandal generating sudden bipartisan consensus—though both face significant institutional and calendar constraints before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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