Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in pretrial detention in Brooklyn facing Southern District of New York charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, stemming from a January 2026 U.S. raid and superseding indictment. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss the case on March 26 amid ongoing disputes over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his legal team, while a May ruling delayed the next hearing to June. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with 60+ months edging out at 34.5% due to severe potential penalties, but clustered near 20–40 months (25.7%) and no prison time (23%) amid plea deal prospects, the statute's rare trial convictions, and possible acquittal or mistrial before the December 2027 resolution deadline. A plea agreement or witness cooperation could widen spreads.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৬০+ 35%
২০–৪০ 25.7%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 23%
৪০–৬০ 10%
$527,062 Vol.
$527,062 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
কারাদণ্ড নয়
23%
<২০
5%
২০–৪০
26%
৪০–৬০
10%
৬০+
35%
৬০+ 35%
২০–৪০ 25.7%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 23%
৪০–৬০ 10%
$527,062 Vol.
$527,062 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$373,587 Vol.
23%
<২০
$57,253 Vol.
5%
২০–৪০
$48,069 Vol.
26%
৪০–৬০
$15,908 Vol.
10%
৬০+
$32,245 Vol.
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in pretrial detention in Brooklyn facing Southern District of New York charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, stemming from a January 2026 U.S. raid and superseding indictment. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss the case on March 26 amid ongoing disputes over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his legal team, while a May ruling delayed the next hearing to June. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with 60+ months edging out at 34.5% due to severe potential penalties, but clustered near 20–40 months (25.7%) and no prison time (23%) amid plea deal prospects, the statute's rare trial convictions, and possible acquittal or mistrial before the December 2027 resolution deadline. A plea agreement or witness cooperation could widen spreads.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$527,062শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in pretrial detention in Brooklyn facing Southern District of New York charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, stemming from a January 2026 U.S. raid and superseding indictment. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss the case on March 26 amid ongoing disputes over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his legal team, while a May ruling delayed the next hearing to June. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with 60+ months edging out at 34.5% due to severe potential penalties, but clustered near 20–40 months (25.7%) and no prison time (23%) amid plea deal prospects, the statute's rare trial convictions, and possible acquittal or mistrial before the December 2027 resolution deadline. A plea agreement or witness cooperation could widen spreads.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$527,062শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in pretrial detention in Brooklyn facing Southern District of New York charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, stemming from a January 2026 U.S. raid and superseding indictment. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss the case on March 26 amid ongoing disputes over sanctions blocking Venezuelan funds for his legal team, while a May ruling delayed the next hearing to June. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with 60+ months edging out at 34.5% due to severe potential penalties, but clustered near 20–40 months (25.7%) and no prison time (23%) amid plea deal prospects, the statute's rare trial convictions, and possible acquittal or mistrial before the December 2027 resolution deadline. A plea agreement or witness cooperation could widen spreads.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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