Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a summer minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area into early May, combined with thin central-basin ice and PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows, increase vulnerability to rapid melt during the upcoming season. An emerging El Niño pattern, per NOAA outlooks, adds further downward pressure, as such events have historically amplified summer losses. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June model consensus will provide key updates, though atmospheric variability and regional weather patterns introduce uncertainty around final September values measured by NSIDC.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
<4m sq km 48%
4.2-4.4m sq km 9.0%
4.4-4.6m sq km 8.7%
4.0-4.2m sq km 8.0%
$48,580 Vol.
$48,580 Vol.
Oct 1, 2026
<4m sq km
48%
4.0-4.2m sq km
8%
4.2-4.4m sq km
16%
4.4-4.6m sq km
9%
4.6-4.8m sq km
6%
4.8-5m sq km
2%
5m+ sq km
4%
<4m sq km 48%
4.2-4.4m sq km 9.0%
4.4-4.6m sq km 8.7%
4.0-4.2m sq km 8.0%
$48,580 Vol.
$48,580 Vol.
Oct 1, 2026
<4m sq km
$25,113 Vol.
48%
4.0-4.2m sq km
$3,431 Vol.
8%
4.2-4.4m sq km
$1,313 Vol.
16%
4.4-4.6m sq km
$1,381 Vol.
9%
4.6-4.8m sq km
$2,948 Vol.
6%
4.8-5m sq km
$1,199 Vol.
2%
5m+ sq km
$13,195 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a summer minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area into early May, combined with thin central-basin ice and PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows, increase vulnerability to rapid melt during the upcoming season. An emerging El Niño pattern, per NOAA outlooks, adds further downward pressure, as such events have historically amplified summer losses. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June model consensus will provide key updates, though atmospheric variability and regional weather patterns introduce uncertainty around final September values measured by NSIDC.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$48,580শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a summer minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area into early May, combined with thin central-basin ice and PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows, increase vulnerability to rapid melt during the upcoming season. An emerging El Niño pattern, per NOAA outlooks, adds further downward pressure, as such events have historically amplified summer losses. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June model consensus will provide key updates, though atmospheric variability and regional weather patterns introduce uncertainty around final September values measured by NSIDC.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ভলিউম
$48,580শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Record-low Arctic sea ice maximum of 14.29 million square kilometers in mid-March 2026, tied for the lowest in the satellite record, has positioned traders to favor a summer minimum below 4 million square kilometers. Persistent near-record low extents and ice area into early May, combined with thin central-basin ice and PIOMAS volume estimates near historic lows, increase vulnerability to rapid melt during the upcoming season. An emerging El Niño pattern, per NOAA outlooks, adds further downward pressure, as such events have historically amplified summer losses. The Sea Ice Prediction Network’s June model consensus will provide key updates, though atmospheric variability and regional weather patterns introduce uncertainty around final September values measured by NSIDC.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা