Record-low winter maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, combined with persistently below-average conditions through spring and summer, sets a low baseline for the September minimum. NSIDC data show 2026 daily extents ranking among the lowest on record for much of the year, with July 30 extent at 6.62 million square kilometers—14% below the 1991-2020 median—and early melt along Atlantic margins. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C by mid-July, adds warmth that historically favors greater ice loss. These factors position the 4.4–4.6 million square kilometer bin as the leading outcome, while model spread and late-summer weather introduce uncertainty around nearby ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
4.4-4.6m sq km 27.6%
4.6-4.8m sq km 24.1%
4.2-4.4m sq km 14.0%
<4m sq km 13%
$67,797 Vol.
$67,797 Vol.
Oct 1, 2026
<4m sq km
13%
4.0-4.2m sq km
14%
4.2-4.4m sq km
14%
4.4-4.6m sq km
35%
4.6-4.8m sq km
24%
4.8-5m sq km
11%
5m+ sq km
4%
4.4-4.6m sq km 27.6%
4.6-4.8m sq km 24.1%
4.2-4.4m sq km 14.0%
<4m sq km 13%
$67,797 Vol.
$67,797 Vol.
Oct 1, 2026
<4m sq km
$30,466 Vol.
13%
4.0-4.2m sq km
$6,580 Vol.
14%
4.2-4.4m sq km
$2,942 Vol.
14%
4.4-4.6m sq km
$3,128 Vol.
35%
4.6-4.8m sq km
$6,805 Vol.
24%
4.8-5m sq km
$3,447 Vol.
11%
5m+ sq km
$14,474 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low winter maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, combined with persistently below-average conditions through spring and summer, sets a low baseline for the September minimum. NSIDC data show 2026 daily extents ranking among the lowest on record for much of the year, with July 30 extent at 6.62 million square kilometers—14% below the 1991-2020 median—and early melt along Atlantic margins. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C by mid-July, adds warmth that historically favors greater ice loss. These factors position the 4.4–4.6 million square kilometer bin as the leading outcome, while model spread and late-summer weather introduce uncertainty around nearby ranges.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$67,797শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Record-low winter maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, combined with persistently below-average conditions through spring and summer, sets a low baseline for the September minimum. NSIDC data show 2026 daily extents ranking among the lowest on record for much of the year, with July 30 extent at 6.62 million square kilometers—14% below the 1991-2020 median—and early melt along Atlantic margins. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C by mid-July, adds warmth that historically favors greater ice loss. These factors position the 4.4–4.6 million square kilometer bin as the leading outcome, while model spread and late-summer weather introduce uncertainty around nearby ranges.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
ভলিউম
$67,797শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Record-low winter maximum extent of 14.29 million square kilometers in March 2026, combined with persistently below-average conditions through spring and summer, sets a low baseline for the September minimum. NSIDC data show 2026 daily extents ranking among the lowest on record for much of the year, with July 30 extent at 6.62 million square kilometers—14% below the 1991-2020 median—and early melt along Atlantic margins. A strengthening El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C by mid-July, adds warmth that historically favors greater ice loss. These factors position the 4.4–4.6 million square kilometer bin as the leading outcome, while model spread and late-summer weather introduce uncertainty around nearby ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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