John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJohn Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 Vol.
$11,060 Vol.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
1%
Malcolm Offord
1%
Russell Findlay
1%
Anas Sarwar
<1%
Ross Greer
<1%
Gillian Mackay
<1%
John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 Vol.
$11,060 Vol.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
$3,218 Vol.
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
$1,346 Vol.
1%
Malcolm Offord
$912 Vol.
1%
Russell Findlay
$2,554 Vol.
1%
Anas Sarwar
$1,945 Vol.
<1%
Ross Greer
$515 Vol.
<1%
Gillian Mackay
$570 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,060শেষ তারিখ
May 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$11,060শেষ তারিখ
May 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...John Swinney holds a near-certain position as the next First Minister due to his incumbency as SNP leader and current officeholder, reinforced by the party's performance in the May 2026 Holyrood election. Traders view his renomination in the Scottish Parliament as the most probable outcome, given limited immediate internal party opposition and his established parliamentary support ahead of the formal vote later this month. While challengers including Anas Sarwar, Alex Cole-Hamilton, and others register only marginal implied probabilities, scenarios such as an unexpected resignation, major scandal, or sudden coalition breakdown could still shift dynamics, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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