Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer enters the November 3 general election in New Jersey's 5th congressional district with a substantial edge after consolidating Democratic support in the June 2 primary. The district's light-blue tilt, demonstrated by a nine-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combines with Gottheimer's extensive fundraising advantage and unopposed primary path to anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane consolidated party backing following his opponent's withdrawal but trails significantly in resources and faces nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat solid or likely Democratic. No recent polling or major campaign developments have altered the trajectory, leaving incumbency strength and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors shaping current probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
14%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$325 Vol.
84%
Republican Party
$206 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer enters the November 3 general election in New Jersey's 5th congressional district with a substantial edge after consolidating Democratic support in the June 2 primary. The district's light-blue tilt, demonstrated by a nine-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combines with Gottheimer's extensive fundraising advantage and unopposed primary path to anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane consolidated party backing following his opponent's withdrawal but trails significantly in resources and faces nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat solid or likely Democratic. No recent polling or major campaign developments have altered the trajectory, leaving incumbency strength and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors shaping current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ভলিউম
$532শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer enters the November 3 general election in New Jersey's 5th congressional district with a substantial edge after consolidating Democratic support in the June 2 primary. The district's light-blue tilt, demonstrated by a nine-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combines with Gottheimer's extensive fundraising advantage and unopposed primary path to anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane consolidated party backing following his opponent's withdrawal but trails significantly in resources and faces nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat solid or likely Democratic. No recent polling or major campaign developments have altered the trajectory, leaving incumbency strength and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors shaping current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$532শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer enters the November 3 general election in New Jersey's 5th congressional district with a substantial edge after consolidating Democratic support in the June 2 primary. The district's light-blue tilt, demonstrated by a nine-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, combines with Gottheimer's extensive fundraising advantage and unopposed primary path to anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Republican nominee Sean Kirrane consolidated party backing following his opponent's withdrawal but trails significantly in resources and faces nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat solid or likely Democratic. No recent polling or major campaign developments have altered the trajectory, leaving incumbency strength and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors shaping current probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা