New York's 15th Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, has delivered lopsided Democratic victories in recent cycles—incumbent Ritchie Torres won his last general election by 76.5%—driving trader consensus to 92.7% for the Democratic Party nominee in the November 3 general election. Torres leads the June 23 Democratic primary field, boasting $14.7 million cash on hand against challengers like Michael Blake, who criticize his pro-Israel stance and corporate donors, amid April debates but no polling shifts. The Republican primary features only obscure candidate Stylo A. Sapaskis, signaling token opposition. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee post-primary or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in safe seats make these improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$23,439 Vol.
$23,439 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$23,439 Vol.
$23,439 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,708 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$11,731 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 15th Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, has delivered lopsided Democratic victories in recent cycles—incumbent Ritchie Torres won his last general election by 76.5%—driving trader consensus to 92.7% for the Democratic Party nominee in the November 3 general election. Torres leads the June 23 Democratic primary field, boasting $14.7 million cash on hand against challengers like Michael Blake, who criticize his pro-Israel stance and corporate donors, amid April debates but no polling shifts. The Republican primary features only obscure candidate Stylo A. Sapaskis, signaling token opposition. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee post-primary or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in safe seats make these improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$23,439শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 15th Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, has delivered lopsided Democratic victories in recent cycles—incumbent Ritchie Torres won his last general election by 76.5%—driving trader consensus to 92.7% for the Democratic Party nominee in the November 3 general election. Torres leads the June 23 Democratic primary field, boasting $14.7 million cash on hand against challengers like Michael Blake, who criticize his pro-Israel stance and corporate donors, amid April debates but no polling shifts. The Republican primary features only obscure candidate Stylo A. Sapaskis, signaling token opposition. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee post-primary or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in safe seats make these improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$23,439শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 15th Congressional District, with its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, has delivered lopsided Democratic victories in recent cycles—incumbent Ritchie Torres won his last general election by 76.5%—driving trader consensus to 92.7% for the Democratic Party nominee in the November 3 general election. Torres leads the June 23 Democratic primary field, boasting $14.7 million cash on hand against challengers like Michael Blake, who criticize his pro-Israel stance and corporate donors, amid April debates but no polling shifts. The Republican primary features only obscure candidate Stylo A. Sapaskis, signaling token opposition. Scenarios challenging this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee post-primary or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in safe seats make these improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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