Recent incidents classified as partial or full outages on multiple days in early June—including elevated error rates on June 2-3, 8-9, 11, and 12—have driven trader sentiment toward 4+ outage days at 51.5% implied probability. OpenAI's status page shows ChatGPT uptime at 99.83% for the March-June period, yet repeated disruptions tied to backend issues and user reports on Downdetector have accumulated enough calendar days to favor higher counts. With June only halfway complete, ongoing platform scaling challenges for the large language model service and lack of major stability improvements keep the 2- and 3-day outcomes at 29% and 24.5%, while sub-2 days remains negligible at 0.3%. Upcoming weeks will hinge on whether infrastructure fixes reduce incident frequency before month-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4+ 52%
3 24%
2 21%
<2 <1%
$10,307 Vol.
$10,307 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<2
<1%
2
29%
3
25%
4+
52%
4+ 52%
3 24%
2 21%
<2 <1%
$10,307 Vol.
$10,307 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<2
$5,707 Vol.
<1%
2
$650 Vol.
29%
3
$432 Vol.
25%
4+
$3,518 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent incidents classified as partial or full outages on multiple days in early June—including elevated error rates on June 2-3, 8-9, 11, and 12—have driven trader sentiment toward 4+ outage days at 51.5% implied probability. OpenAI's status page shows ChatGPT uptime at 99.83% for the March-June period, yet repeated disruptions tied to backend issues and user reports on Downdetector have accumulated enough calendar days to favor higher counts. With June only halfway complete, ongoing platform scaling challenges for the large language model service and lack of major stability improvements keep the 2- and 3-day outcomes at 29% and 24.5%, while sub-2 days remains negligible at 0.3%. Upcoming weeks will hinge on whether infrastructure fixes reduce incident frequency before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$10,307শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent incidents classified as partial or full outages on multiple days in early June—including elevated error rates on June 2-3, 8-9, 11, and 12—have driven trader sentiment toward 4+ outage days at 51.5% implied probability. OpenAI's status page shows ChatGPT uptime at 99.83% for the March-June period, yet repeated disruptions tied to backend issues and user reports on Downdetector have accumulated enough calendar days to favor higher counts. With June only halfway complete, ongoing platform scaling challenges for the large language model service and lack of major stability improvements keep the 2- and 3-day outcomes at 29% and 24.5%, while sub-2 days remains negligible at 0.3%. Upcoming weeks will hinge on whether infrastructure fixes reduce incident frequency before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$10,307শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent incidents classified as partial or full outages on multiple days in early June—including elevated error rates on June 2-3, 8-9, 11, and 12—have driven trader sentiment toward 4+ outage days at 51.5% implied probability. OpenAI's status page shows ChatGPT uptime at 99.83% for the March-June period, yet repeated disruptions tied to backend issues and user reports on Downdetector have accumulated enough calendar days to favor higher counts. With June only halfway complete, ongoing platform scaling challenges for the large language model service and lack of major stability improvements keep the 2- and 3-day outcomes at 29% and 24.5%, while sub-2 days remains negligible at 0.3%. Upcoming weeks will hinge on whether infrastructure fixes reduce incident frequency before month-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা