Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for "No" on OpenAI achieving a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027, driven primarily by recent Wall Street Journal reporting that the company missed key internal revenue and user growth targets amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. CFO Sarah Friar has privately urged delaying a late-2026 listing to 2027, citing unsustainable $600 billion in five-year compute commitments and revenue shortfalls, despite CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 debut. OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round underscores the steep climb needed for a trillion-dollar public debut, with no S-1 filing yet amid ongoing for-profit restructuring. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings or updated financial disclosures by mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$269,322 Vol.
$269,322 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$269,322 Vol.
$269,322 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for "No" on OpenAI achieving a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027, driven primarily by recent Wall Street Journal reporting that the company missed key internal revenue and user growth targets amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. CFO Sarah Friar has privately urged delaying a late-2026 listing to 2027, citing unsustainable $600 billion in five-year compute commitments and revenue shortfalls, despite CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 debut. OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round underscores the steep climb needed for a trillion-dollar public debut, with no S-1 filing yet amid ongoing for-profit restructuring. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings or updated financial disclosures by mid-2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$269,322শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for "No" on OpenAI achieving a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027, driven primarily by recent Wall Street Journal reporting that the company missed key internal revenue and user growth targets amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. CFO Sarah Friar has privately urged delaying a late-2026 listing to 2027, citing unsustainable $600 billion in five-year compute commitments and revenue shortfalls, despite CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 debut. OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round underscores the steep climb needed for a trillion-dollar public debut, with no S-1 filing yet amid ongoing for-profit restructuring. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings or updated financial disclosures by mid-2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$269,322শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 79.5% implied probability for "No" on OpenAI achieving a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027, driven primarily by recent Wall Street Journal reporting that the company missed key internal revenue and user growth targets amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. CFO Sarah Friar has privately urged delaying a late-2026 listing to 2027, citing unsustainable $600 billion in five-year compute commitments and revenue shortfalls, despite CEO Sam Altman's push for a Q4 debut. OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round underscores the steep climb needed for a trillion-dollar public debut, with no S-1 filing yet amid ongoing for-profit restructuring. Key catalysts include potential regulatory filings or updated financial disclosures by mid-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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