Hong Kong's June precipitation market shows closely clustered probabilities across 400–500 mm bins because early-month totals already reached nearly 200 mm by June 9 amid active South China Sea monsoon flow, while the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the full June–August period. Remaining model guidance indicates variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could add 200–300 mm more, with limited typhoon risk this early in the season. Traders weigh historical June averages near 350–450 mm against current atmospheric conditions, where small shifts in monsoon intensity or convective activity could determine whether totals settle in the middle or upper bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
475-500mm 44%
500mm+ 28%
450-475mm 27%
375-400mm 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
10%
350-375mm
11%
375-400mm
15%
400-425mm
19%
425-450mm
27%
450-475mm
27%
475-500mm
28%
500mm+
28%
475-500mm 44%
500mm+ 28%
450-475mm 27%
375-400mm 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 30, 2026
<350mm
$297 Vol.
10%
350-375mm
$132 Vol.
11%
375-400mm
$252 Vol.
15%
400-425mm
$148 Vol.
19%
425-450mm
$167 Vol.
27%
450-475mm
$193 Vol.
27%
475-500mm
$236 Vol.
28%
500mm+
$287 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's June precipitation market shows closely clustered probabilities across 400–500 mm bins because early-month totals already reached nearly 200 mm by June 9 amid active South China Sea monsoon flow, while the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the full June–August period. Remaining model guidance indicates variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could add 200–300 mm more, with limited typhoon risk this early in the season. Traders weigh historical June averages near 350–450 mm against current atmospheric conditions, where small shifts in monsoon intensity or convective activity could determine whether totals settle in the middle or upper bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,711শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's June precipitation market shows closely clustered probabilities across 400–500 mm bins because early-month totals already reached nearly 200 mm by June 9 amid active South China Sea monsoon flow, while the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the full June–August period. Remaining model guidance indicates variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could add 200–300 mm more, with limited typhoon risk this early in the season. Traders weigh historical June averages near 350–450 mm against current atmospheric conditions, where small shifts in monsoon intensity or convective activity could determine whether totals settle in the middle or upper bins.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$1,711শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's June precipitation market shows closely clustered probabilities across 400–500 mm bins because early-month totals already reached nearly 200 mm by June 9 amid active South China Sea monsoon flow, while the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors normal to below-normal rainfall for the full June–August period. Remaining model guidance indicates variable steering patterns and thunderstorm potential that could add 200–300 mm more, with limited typhoon risk this early in the season. Traders weigh historical June averages near 350–450 mm against current atmospheric conditions, where small shifts in monsoon intensity or convective activity could determine whether totals settle in the middle or upper bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা