Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but forecasts show Democrats positioned to gain ground due to the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. Recent redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have altered several competitive districts, while generic ballot polling averages favor Democrats by several points. These factors, combined with Democratic advantages in individual-donor fundraising and a modest number of Republican-held seats viewed as vulnerable, explain why traders assign the highest probability to Republican totals below 190 seats. The spread across bins from 190 to 224 reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout, primary outcomes, and any late shifts in national conditions that could narrow or widen Democratic gains.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.4%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 Vol.
$234,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
27%
190-194
11%
195-199
12%
200-204
11%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
2%
Below 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.4%
215-219 11.1%
$234,839 Vol.
$234,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Below 190
$17,616 Vol.
27%
190-194
$8,513 Vol.
11%
195-199
$28,129 Vol.
12%
200-204
$22,115 Vol.
11%
205-209
$35,376 Vol.
10%
210-214
$12,841 Vol.
9%
215-219
$8,059 Vol.
11%
220-224
$53,714 Vol.
9%
225-229
$21,391 Vol.
3%
230+
$27,084 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but forecasts show Democrats positioned to gain ground due to the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. Recent redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have altered several competitive districts, while generic ballot polling averages favor Democrats by several points. These factors, combined with Democratic advantages in individual-donor fundraising and a modest number of Republican-held seats viewed as vulnerable, explain why traders assign the highest probability to Republican totals below 190 seats. The spread across bins from 190 to 224 reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout, primary outcomes, and any late shifts in national conditions that could narrow or widen Democratic gains.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$234,839শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but forecasts show Democrats positioned to gain ground due to the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. Recent redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have altered several competitive districts, while generic ballot polling averages favor Democrats by several points. These factors, combined with Democratic advantages in individual-donor fundraising and a modest number of Republican-held seats viewed as vulnerable, explain why traders assign the highest probability to Republican totals below 190 seats. The spread across bins from 190 to 224 reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout, primary outcomes, and any late shifts in national conditions that could narrow or widen Democratic gains.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$234,839শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but forecasts show Democrats positioned to gain ground due to the typical midterm penalty against the president's party. Recent redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have altered several competitive districts, while generic ballot polling averages favor Democrats by several points. These factors, combined with Democratic advantages in individual-donor fundraising and a modest number of Republican-held seats viewed as vulnerable, explain why traders assign the highest probability to Republican totals below 190 seats. The spread across bins from 190 to 224 reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout, primary outcomes, and any late shifts in national conditions that could narrow or widen Democratic gains.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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