In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMark Smith 69%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
Jay Byars 4.0%
$14,326 Vol.
$14,326 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
69%
Alex Pelbath
20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
4%
Sam McCown
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 69%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
Jay Byars 4.0%
$14,326 Vol.
$14,326 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
$5,629 Vol.
69%
Alex Pelbath
$2,445 Vol.
20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$643 Vol.
4%
Jay Byars
$681 Vol.
4%
Jack Ellison
$945 Vol.
4%
Sam McCown
$2,007 Vol.
2%
Logan Cunningham
$733 Vol.
1%
Justin Myers
$603 Vol.
1%
Dan Brown
$641 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,326শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$14,326শেষ তারিখ
Jun 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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