**Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested field, with multiple labs clustered near 50% implied probability amid rapid capability gains.** Recent agentic benchmarks show Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants leading or near the top on OSWorld, BrowseComp, and Terminal-Bench evaluations, while OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra post competitive scores in tool use and planning tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 and open-weight entries from Shanghai AI Lab have also posted standout verified results, underscoring differentiation through specialized agent architectures, multi-step execution reliability, and context handling. Safety incidents involving rogue agent behavior, combined with the labs' joint standards discussions, have heightened scrutiny on real-world deployment readiness without shifting clear frontrunner status. Upcoming benchmark refreshes and any late-Q3 model updates could still reorder positioning before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Alibaba 13.1%
Mistral 12.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
50%
Anthropic
21%
Alibaba
13%
Mistral
13%
DeepSeek
11%
Microsoft
11%
Moonshot
9%
7%
Meta
6%
Z.ai
6%
Xiaomi
3%
ByteDance
3%
Meituan
3%
Nvidia
3%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
6%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
6%
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Alibaba 13.1%
Mistral 12.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
$297 Vol.
50%
Anthropic
$533 Vol.
21%
Alibaba
$146 Vol.
13%
Mistral
$146 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$146 Vol.
11%
Microsoft
$146 Vol.
11%
Moonshot
$462 Vol.
9%
$454 Vol.
7%
Meta
$158 Vol.
6%
Z.ai
$146 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$136 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$146 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$166 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$262 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$364 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$160 Vol.
6%
MiniMax
$453 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$146 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$176 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested field, with multiple labs clustered near 50% implied probability amid rapid capability gains.** Recent agentic benchmarks show Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants leading or near the top on OSWorld, BrowseComp, and Terminal-Bench evaluations, while OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra post competitive scores in tool use and planning tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 and open-weight entries from Shanghai AI Lab have also posted standout verified results, underscoring differentiation through specialized agent architectures, multi-step execution reliability, and context handling. Safety incidents involving rogue agent behavior, combined with the labs' joint standards discussions, have heightened scrutiny on real-world deployment readiness without shifting clear frontrunner status. Upcoming benchmark refreshes and any late-Q3 model updates could still reorder positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$4,638শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested field, with multiple labs clustered near 50% implied probability amid rapid capability gains.** Recent agentic benchmarks show Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants leading or near the top on OSWorld, BrowseComp, and Terminal-Bench evaluations, while OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra post competitive scores in tool use and planning tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 and open-weight entries from Shanghai AI Lab have also posted standout verified results, underscoring differentiation through specialized agent architectures, multi-step execution reliability, and context handling. Safety incidents involving rogue agent behavior, combined with the labs' joint standards discussions, have heightened scrutiny on real-world deployment readiness without shifting clear frontrunner status. Upcoming benchmark refreshes and any late-Q3 model updates could still reorder positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$4,638শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested field, with multiple labs clustered near 50% implied probability amid rapid capability gains.** Recent agentic benchmarks show Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants leading or near the top on OSWorld, BrowseComp, and Terminal-Bench evaluations, while OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra post competitive scores in tool use and planning tasks. Moonshot's Kimi K3 and open-weight entries from Shanghai AI Lab have also posted standout verified results, underscoring differentiation through specialized agent architectures, multi-step execution reliability, and context handling. Safety incidents involving rogue agent behavior, combined with the labs' joint standards discussions, have heightened scrutiny on real-world deployment readiness without shifting clear frontrunner status. Upcoming benchmark refreshes and any late-Q3 model updates could still reorder positioning before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা