Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+15 Cook PVI and her prior general election margins above 60 percent. DelBene advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, confirming continued party dominance in the northern Seattle suburbs and surrounding areas. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94 percent implied probability of victory on November 3 because the district's voter base and historical turnout patterns have consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require an unusually large national swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or a sharp drop in Democratic turnout that has not materialized in recent primaries or generals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-01 House Election Winner
WA-01 House Election Winner
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,509 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,282 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+15 Cook PVI and her prior general election margins above 60 percent. DelBene advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, confirming continued party dominance in the northern Seattle suburbs and surrounding areas. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94 percent implied probability of victory on November 3 because the district's voter base and historical turnout patterns have consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require an unusually large national swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or a sharp drop in Democratic turnout that has not materialized in recent primaries or generals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,791শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+15 Cook PVI and her prior general election margins above 60 percent. DelBene advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, confirming continued party dominance in the northern Seattle suburbs and surrounding areas. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94 percent implied probability of victory on November 3 because the district's voter base and historical turnout patterns have consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require an unusually large national swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or a sharp drop in Democratic turnout that has not materialized in recent primaries or generals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$30,791শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene holds a commanding position in Washington's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+15 Cook PVI and her prior general election margins above 60 percent. DelBene advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, confirming continued party dominance in the northern Seattle suburbs and surrounding areas. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94 percent implied probability of victory on November 3 because the district's voter base and historical turnout patterns have consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A Republican upset would require an unusually large national swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or a sharp drop in Democratic turnout that has not materialized in recent primaries or generals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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