Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from Washington's August 2026 primary with 53% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva at 26%, setting up the November general election in a district rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. This partisan lean, combined with DelBene's long tenure since 2012 and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democrat, consistent with historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Potential shifts could stem from major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or turnout anomalies in this suburban and exurban area, though the structural advantage limits realistic paths to a Republican upset absent extraordinary circumstances.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-01 House Election Winner
$44,526 Vol.
$44,526 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$44,526 Vol.
$44,526 Vol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced from Washington's August 2026 primary with 53% of the vote against Republican Mary Silva at 26%, setting up the November general election in a district rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index. This partisan lean, combined with DelBene's long tenure since 2012 and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democrat, consistent with historical voting patterns that favor the party by wide margins. Potential shifts could stem from major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or turnout anomalies in this suburban and exurban area, though the structural advantage limits realistic paths to a Republican upset absent extraordinary circumstances.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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