Trader sentiment strongly positions Anthropic as the frontrunner with a 71.2% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of June, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have demonstrated leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety. Google's 21.0% share captures steady Gemini advancements and broad platform integration, yet it has not closed the gap in independent capability evaluations. OpenAI's 6.0% odds indicate ongoing competitive pressure despite GPT refinements, while lower probabilities for xAI, Meta, and others highlight limited recent breakthroughs relative to the leaders. Traders are watching for any late-May model updates or new benchmark data that could shift consensus before the resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডজুনের শেষের দিকে কোন কোম্পানির সেরা AI মডেল রয়েছে?
জুনের শেষের দিকে কোন কোম্পানির সেরা AI মডেল রয়েছে?
Anthropic 70.8%
গুগল 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.1%
$6,011,751 Vol.
$6,011,751 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
71%
গুগল
21%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
1%
মেটা
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
অ্যামাজন
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
মিসট্রাল
<1%
মাইক্রোসফট
<1%
বাইটড্যান্স
<1%
আলীবাবা
<1%
মুনশট
<1%
Meituan
<1%
বাইদু
<1%
Anthropic 70.8%
গুগল 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.1%
$6,011,751 Vol.
$6,011,751 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$845,984 Vol.
71%
গুগল
$549,693 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$343,745 Vol.
6%
xAI
$1,067,661 Vol.
1%
মেটা
$136,997 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$504,489 Vol.
<1%
অ্যামাজন
$163,558 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$303,595 Vol.
<1%
মিসট্রাল
$483,604 Vol.
<1%
মাইক্রোসফট
$156,708 Vol.
<1%
বাইটড্যান্স
$160,176 Vol.
<1%
আলীবাবা
$383,409 Vol.
<1%
মুনশট
$364,375 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$382,468 Vol.
<1%
বাইদু
$165,558 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly positions Anthropic as the frontrunner with a 71.2% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of June, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have demonstrated leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety. Google's 21.0% share captures steady Gemini advancements and broad platform integration, yet it has not closed the gap in independent capability evaluations. OpenAI's 6.0% odds indicate ongoing competitive pressure despite GPT refinements, while lower probabilities for xAI, Meta, and others highlight limited recent breakthroughs relative to the leaders. Traders are watching for any late-May model updates or new benchmark data that could shift consensus before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$6,011,751শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly positions Anthropic as the frontrunner with a 71.2% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of June, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have demonstrated leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety. Google's 21.0% share captures steady Gemini advancements and broad platform integration, yet it has not closed the gap in independent capability evaluations. OpenAI's 6.0% odds indicate ongoing competitive pressure despite GPT refinements, while lower probabilities for xAI, Meta, and others highlight limited recent breakthroughs relative to the leaders. Traders are watching for any late-May model updates or new benchmark data that could shift consensus before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$6,011,751শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment strongly positions Anthropic as the frontrunner with a 71.2% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of June, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have demonstrated leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety. Google's 21.0% share captures steady Gemini advancements and broad platform integration, yet it has not closed the gap in independent capability evaluations. OpenAI's 6.0% odds indicate ongoing competitive pressure despite GPT refinements, while lower probabilities for xAI, Meta, and others highlight limited recent breakthroughs relative to the leaders. Traders are watching for any late-May model updates or new benchmark data that could shift consensus before the resolution date.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা