Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored the 92.5% market-implied odds by topping multiple leaderboards in coding and agentic tasks, including strong SWE-bench Verified scores and Arena.ai Elo leads exceeding 40 points over competitors. The model's 1-million-token context window and demonstrated capabilities in autonomous multi-step workflows have reinforced trader consensus on its edge through mid-May. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains a slim 6.0% chance via advantages in multimodal reasoning and GPQA benchmarks, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family sits at 1.0% after solid but less dominant recent showings. A late-May surprise release or benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current momentum and lack of immediate challengers support the heavy favoritism.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 93%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,036,749 Vol.
$9,036,749 Vol.

Anthropic
93%

6%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,036,749 Vol.
$9,036,749 Vol.

Anthropic
93%

6%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has anchored the 92.5% market-implied odds by topping multiple leaderboards in coding and agentic tasks, including strong SWE-bench Verified scores and Arena.ai Elo leads exceeding 40 points over competitors. The model's 1-million-token context window and demonstrated capabilities in autonomous multi-step workflows have reinforced trader consensus on its edge through mid-May. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains a slim 6.0% chance via advantages in multimodal reasoning and GPQA benchmarks, while OpenAI's GPT-5.5 family sits at 1.0% after solid but less dominant recent showings. A late-May surprise release or benchmark surge from Google or OpenAI could narrow the gap, though current momentum and lack of immediate challengers support the heavy favoritism.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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