Anthropic holds the strongest position among frontier labs heading into late June, driven by the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 and its consistent edge on agentic and coding benchmarks. Traders see this as extending the company’s recent momentum in high-stakes reasoning tasks, where the model outperforms peers on expert-level workflows and self-improvement features introduced in early May. Google remains the clearest challenger with Gemini 3.1 Pro leading several independent reasoning and accuracy leaderboards, though its gains have not yet displaced Anthropic’s lead in the specific arena format traders track. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 update improved factuality but has not produced the same benchmark surge, leaving it a distant third in current sentiment. With resolution tied to live leaderboard standings at month-end, any new model drop or major benchmark shift before June 30 could still alter the ordering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 67%
গুগল 24%
OpenAI 5%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,406 Vol.
$1,457,406 Vol.

Anthropic
67%

গুগল
24%

OpenAI
5%

xAI
3%

DeepSeek
1%

আলিবাবা
1%

মেটা
1%

Z.ai
1%

মাইক্রোসফট
1%

মুনশট
1%

Meituan
<1%

মিস্ট্রাল
<1%

বাইটডান্স
<1%

বাইদু
<1%

অ্যামাজন
<1%
Anthropic 67%
গুগল 24%
OpenAI 5%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,406 Vol.
$1,457,406 Vol.

Anthropic
67%

গুগল
24%

OpenAI
5%

xAI
3%

DeepSeek
1%

আলিবাবা
1%

মেটা
1%

Z.ai
1%

মাইক্রোসফট
1%

মুনশট
1%

Meituan
<1%

মিস্ট্রাল
<1%

বাইটডান্স
<1%

বাইদু
<1%

অ্যামাজন
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds the strongest position among frontier labs heading into late June, driven by the recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 and its consistent edge on agentic and coding benchmarks. Traders see this as extending the company’s recent momentum in high-stakes reasoning tasks, where the model outperforms peers on expert-level workflows and self-improvement features introduced in early May. Google remains the clearest challenger with Gemini 3.1 Pro leading several independent reasoning and accuracy leaderboards, though its gains have not yet displaced Anthropic’s lead in the specific arena format traders track. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 update improved factuality but has not produced the same benchmark surge, leaving it a distant third in current sentiment. With resolution tied to live leaderboard standings at month-end, any new model drop or major benchmark shift before June 30 could still alter the ordering.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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