Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20 percent of global oil trade, have driven heightened naval activity as traders price in risks to energy supply chains and shipping costs. Since late February 2026, Iranian restrictions have curtailed transits, pushing insurance premiums sharply higher and prompting U.S. forces to conduct multiple destroyer passages, including guided-missile vessels under Operation Project Freedom in early May to escort commercial traffic. The UK’s HMS Dragon has been forward-deployed for potential multinational patrols, while France’s Charles de Gaulle carrier group advances toward the region to restore confidence among shipowners. These moves reflect broader efforts to secure freedom of navigation amid ceasefire fragility, with market-implied odds favoring established naval powers whose recent deployments and coalition signals could influence resolution by May 31. Key upcoming catalysts include further U.S. Central Command guidance and any European commitments that might alter risk premiums in energy futures and tanker rates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
$1,008,928 Vol.
May 31, 2026
United Kingdom
3%
France
4%
Germany
1%
Italy
1%
Netherlands
1%
Japan
1%
Canada
<1%
India
2%
Greece
<1%
Pakistan
1%
Saudi Arabia
2%
UAE
5%
Bahrain
1%
Qatar
<1%
Kuwait
2%
Oman
2%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
$1,008,928 Vol.
United Kingdom
$162,951 Vol.
3%
France
$96,016 Vol.
4%
Germany
$166,771 Vol.
1%
Italy
$74,400 Vol.
1%
Netherlands
$50,968 Vol.
1%
Japan
$112,820 Vol.
1%
Canada
$19,730 Vol.
<1%
India
$7,441 Vol.
2%
Greece
$18,404 Vol.
<1%
Pakistan
$11,940 Vol.
1%
Saudi Arabia
$20,310 Vol.
2%
UAE
$2,840 Vol.
5%
Bahrain
$19,791 Vol.
1%
Qatar
$5,816 Vol.
<1%
Kuwait
$3,325 Vol.
2%
Oman
$4,506 Vol.
2%
South Korea
$83,114 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$72,142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20 percent of global oil trade, have driven heightened naval activity as traders price in risks to energy supply chains and shipping costs. Since late February 2026, Iranian restrictions have curtailed transits, pushing insurance premiums sharply higher and prompting U.S. forces to conduct multiple destroyer passages, including guided-missile vessels under Operation Project Freedom in early May to escort commercial traffic. The UK’s HMS Dragon has been forward-deployed for potential multinational patrols, while France’s Charles de Gaulle carrier group advances toward the region to restore confidence among shipowners. These moves reflect broader efforts to secure freedom of navigation amid ceasefire fragility, with market-implied odds favoring established naval powers whose recent deployments and coalition signals could influence resolution by May 31. Key upcoming catalysts include further U.S. Central Command guidance and any European commitments that might alter risk premiums in energy futures and tanker rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,008,928শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20 percent of global oil trade, have driven heightened naval activity as traders price in risks to energy supply chains and shipping costs. Since late February 2026, Iranian restrictions have curtailed transits, pushing insurance premiums sharply higher and prompting U.S. forces to conduct multiple destroyer passages, including guided-missile vessels under Operation Project Freedom in early May to escort commercial traffic. The UK’s HMS Dragon has been forward-deployed for potential multinational patrols, while France’s Charles de Gaulle carrier group advances toward the region to restore confidence among shipowners. These moves reflect broader efforts to secure freedom of navigation amid ceasefire fragility, with market-implied odds favoring established naval powers whose recent deployments and coalition signals could influence resolution by May 31. Key upcoming catalysts include further U.S. Central Command guidance and any European commitments that might alter risk premiums in energy futures and tanker rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ভলিউম
$1,008,928শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for roughly 20 percent of global oil trade, have driven heightened naval activity as traders price in risks to energy supply chains and shipping costs. Since late February 2026, Iranian restrictions have curtailed transits, pushing insurance premiums sharply higher and prompting U.S. forces to conduct multiple destroyer passages, including guided-missile vessels under Operation Project Freedom in early May to escort commercial traffic. The UK’s HMS Dragon has been forward-deployed for potential multinational patrols, while France’s Charles de Gaulle carrier group advances toward the region to restore confidence among shipowners. These moves reflect broader efforts to secure freedom of navigation amid ceasefire fragility, with market-implied odds favoring established naval powers whose recent deployments and coalition signals could influence resolution by May 31. Key upcoming catalysts include further U.S. Central Command guidance and any European commitments that might alter risk premiums in energy futures and tanker rates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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