The market for the first Republican announcement in the 2028 cycle remains tightly clustered because no major contender has launched an exploratory committee or formal bid yet, leaving traders with limited signals on timing. Multiple figures including J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and others continue positioning through public appearances and policy statements without committing, while polling averages show Vance ahead for the eventual nomination but no corresponding edge on announcement order. This dynamic sustains near-even implied probabilities across listed options and "Other," reflecting uncertainty over who will move first amid standard post-midterm positioning patterns. Future separation could emerge from Senate schedules, book tours, or state-level events that prompt an early filing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
J.D. Vance 47%
Glenn Youngkin 45%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%
Rand Paul 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2027
J.D. Vance
47%
Glenn Youngkin
45%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
40%
Rand Paul
40%
Marco Rubio
39%
Ted Cruz
39%
Vivek Ramaswamy
30%
Ron DeSantis
28%
Donald Trump
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
J.D. Vance 47%
Glenn Youngkin 45%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%
Rand Paul 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2027
J.D. Vance
$27 Vol.
47%
Glenn Youngkin
$27 Vol.
45%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$27 Vol.
40%
Rand Paul
$27 Vol.
40%
Marco Rubio
$27 Vol.
39%
Ted Cruz
$27 Vol.
39%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$27 Vol.
30%
Ron DeSantis
$57 Vol.
28%
Donald Trump
$37 Vol.
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
$27 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the first Republican announcement in the 2028 cycle remains tightly clustered because no major contender has launched an exploratory committee or formal bid yet, leaving traders with limited signals on timing. Multiple figures including J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and others continue positioning through public appearances and policy statements without committing, while polling averages show Vance ahead for the eventual nomination but no corresponding edge on announcement order. This dynamic sustains near-even implied probabilities across listed options and "Other," reflecting uncertainty over who will move first amid standard post-midterm positioning patterns. Future separation could emerge from Senate schedules, book tours, or state-level events that prompt an early filing.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
ভলিউম
$307শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the first Republican announcement in the 2028 cycle remains tightly clustered because no major contender has launched an exploratory committee or formal bid yet, leaving traders with limited signals on timing. Multiple figures including J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and others continue positioning through public appearances and policy statements without committing, while polling averages show Vance ahead for the eventual nomination but no corresponding edge on announcement order. This dynamic sustains near-even implied probabilities across listed options and "Other," reflecting uncertainty over who will move first amid standard post-midterm positioning patterns. Future separation could emerge from Senate schedules, book tours, or state-level events that prompt an early filing.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$307শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market for the first Republican announcement in the 2028 cycle remains tightly clustered because no major contender has launched an exploratory committee or formal bid yet, leaving traders with limited signals on timing. Multiple figures including J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, and others continue positioning through public appearances and policy statements without committing, while polling averages show Vance ahead for the eventual nomination but no corresponding edge on announcement order. This dynamic sustains near-even implied probabilities across listed options and "Other," reflecting uncertainty over who will move first amid standard post-midterm positioning patterns. Future separation could emerge from Senate schedules, book tours, or state-level events that prompt an early filing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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