Recent developments show stalled US-Iran negotiations following the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has asserted that talks continue through intermediaries and are imminent, while Iranian officials deny any direct negotiations or plans for a new round, citing prior violations and unmet demands. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and parallel Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz shipping show limited progress. With the August 31 deadline approaching amid persistent deadlock and no confirmed high-level meetings scheduled, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any round will convene before the cutoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$89,554 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
45%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Esmail Qaani
10%
Jared Kushner
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Pete Hegseth
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
$89,554 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
45%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Esmail Qaani
10%
Jared Kushner
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Pete Hegseth
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show stalled US-Iran negotiations following the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has asserted that talks continue through intermediaries and are imminent, while Iranian officials deny any direct negotiations or plans for a new round, citing prior violations and unmet demands. Pakistan has stepped up mediation efforts, and parallel Iran-Oman discussions on Hormuz shipping show limited progress. With the August 31 deadline approaching amid persistent deadlock and no confirmed high-level meetings scheduled, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any round will convene before the cutoff.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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