Trader consensus reflects a 73.5% implied probability against a U.S. ground invasion of Iran before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's success in Operation Epic Fury, which achieved key military objectives—including degrading Iran's missile, nuclear, and projection capabilities—through airstrikes and targeted operations launched February 28, 2026, without committing ground troops. A ceasefire declared April 8 has held amid ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations resumed in 2025, with a top U.S. admiral stating on May 14 that threats to neighbors were "dramatically degraded" in under 40 days. Recent U.S. strikes on May 7 targeted Iranian facilities but stayed short of invasion, prioritizing diplomacy and sanctions leverage over escalation, though Iranian proposals and regional tensions could still shift dynamics before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডমার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কি ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরান আক্রমণ করবে?
হ্যাঁ
$28,198,367 Vol.
$28,198,367 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$28,198,367 Vol.
$28,198,367 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus reflects a 73.5% implied probability against a U.S. ground invasion of Iran before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's success in Operation Epic Fury, which achieved key military objectives—including degrading Iran's missile, nuclear, and projection capabilities—through airstrikes and targeted operations launched February 28, 2026, without committing ground troops. A ceasefire declared April 8 has held amid ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations resumed in 2025, with a top U.S. admiral stating on May 14 that threats to neighbors were "dramatically degraded" in under 40 days. Recent U.S. strikes on May 7 targeted Iranian facilities but stayed short of invasion, prioritizing diplomacy and sanctions leverage over escalation, though Iranian proposals and regional tensions could still shift dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$28,198,367শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus reflects a 73.5% implied probability against a U.S. ground invasion of Iran before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's success in Operation Epic Fury, which achieved key military objectives—including degrading Iran's missile, nuclear, and projection capabilities—through airstrikes and targeted operations launched February 28, 2026, without committing ground troops. A ceasefire declared April 8 has held amid ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations resumed in 2025, with a top U.S. admiral stating on May 14 that threats to neighbors were "dramatically degraded" in under 40 days. Recent U.S. strikes on May 7 targeted Iranian facilities but stayed short of invasion, prioritizing diplomacy and sanctions leverage over escalation, though Iranian proposals and regional tensions could still shift dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ভলিউম
$28,198,367শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 73.5% implied probability against a U.S. ground invasion of Iran before 2027, driven by the Trump administration's success in Operation Epic Fury, which achieved key military objectives—including degrading Iran's missile, nuclear, and projection capabilities—through airstrikes and targeted operations launched February 28, 2026, without committing ground troops. A ceasefire declared April 8 has held amid ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations resumed in 2025, with a top U.S. admiral stating on May 14 that threats to neighbors were "dramatically degraded" in under 40 days. Recent U.S. strikes on May 7 targeted Iranian facilities but stayed short of invasion, prioritizing diplomacy and sanctions leverage over escalation, though Iranian proposals and regional tensions could still shift dynamics before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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