Thomas Gerbaud enters this ITF M15 Cap d'Agde qualifying match as the clear favorite against Jules Auffray on outdoor clay, backed by a higher ATP ranking near 1,800 and more consistent recent match activity at this level. The 22-year-old Frenchman holds a career-high ranking in the low 1,400s and has shown stronger serve-return metrics in available data, while Auffray remains lower-profile with limited documented results against comparable opposition. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving surface familiarity and recent form as primary differentiators in what betting markets reflect as an 75-80% implied probability for Gerbaud. The outcome hinges on execution in rallies and first-serve percentage on the slower clay courts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10:30 AM
T. Gerbaud
J. Auffray
T. Gerbaud-
J. Auffray-
$310.12 Vol.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Gerbaud” if Thomas Gerbaud wins the first set. It will resolve to “Auffray” if Jules Auffray wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Gerbaud” if Thomas Gerbaud wins set 2. It will resolve to “Auffray” if Jules Auffray wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Gerbaud" if Thomas Gerbaud wins by 2 or more sets than Jules Auffray, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Auffray."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jules Auffray and Thomas Gerbaud in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Auffray" if Jules Auffray wins by 2 or more sets than Thomas Gerbaud, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Gerbaud."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Thomas Gerbaud enters this ITF M15 Cap d'Agde qualifying match as the clear favorite against Jules Auffray on outdoor clay, backed by a higher ATP ranking near 1,800 and more consistent recent match activity at this level. The 22-year-old Frenchman holds a career-high ranking in the low 1,400s and has shown stronger serve-return metrics in available data, while Auffray remains lower-profile with limited documented results against comparable opposition. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving surface familiarity and recent form as primary differentiators in what betting markets reflect as an 75-80% implied probability for Gerbaud. The outcome hinges on execution in rallies and first-serve percentage on the slower clay courts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$310End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...10:30 AMT. GerbaudJ. Auffray
T. Gerbaud-
J. Auffray-
$310.12 Vol.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Gerbaud” if Thomas Gerbaud wins the first set. It will resolve to “Auffray” if Jules Auffray wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Gerbaud” if Thomas Gerbaud wins set 2. It will resolve to “Auffray” if Jules Auffray wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Gerbaud" if Thomas Gerbaud wins by 2 or more sets than Jules Auffray, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Auffray."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jules Auffray and Thomas Gerbaud in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Auffray" if Jules Auffray wins by 2 or more sets than Thomas Gerbaud, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Gerbaud."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Thomas Gerbaud enters this ITF M15 Cap d'Agde qualifying match as the clear favorite against Jules Auffray on outdoor clay, backed by a higher ATP ranking near 1,800 and more consistent recent match activity at this level. The 22-year-old Frenchman holds a career-high ranking in the low 1,400s and has shown stronger serve-return metrics in available data, while Auffray remains lower-profile with limited documented results against comparable opposition. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving surface familiarity and recent form as primary differentiators in what betting markets reflect as an 75-80% implied probability for Gerbaud. The outcome hinges on execution in rallies and first-serve percentage on the slower clay courts.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Jules Auffray in the ITF M15 Cap d'Agde Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Jules Auffray.
This market will resolve to 'Jules Auffray' if Jules Auffray advances against Thomas Gerbaud.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$310End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Thomas Gerbaud enters this ITF M15 Cap d'Agde qualifying match as the clear favorite against Jules Auffray on outdoor clay, backed by a higher ATP ranking near 1,800 and more consistent recent match activity at this level. The 22-year-old Frenchman holds a career-high ranking in the low 1,400s and has shown stronger serve-return metrics in available data, while Auffray remains lower-profile with limited documented results against comparable opposition. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving surface familiarity and recent form as primary differentiators in what betting markets reflect as an 75-80% implied probability for Gerbaud. The outcome hinges on execution in rallies and first-serve percentage on the slower clay courts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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