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Economy

Economy

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

4%

$252m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Largest Company end of January? card icon

Largest Company end of January?

NVIDIA

90%

Alphabet

9%

NVIDIA

90%

Alphabet

9%

$5m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
2nd Largest company end of January? card icon

2nd Largest company end of January?

Alphabet

73%

Apple

16%

Alphabet

73%

Apple

16%

$1m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Bank of Japan decision in January? card icon

Bank of Japan decision in January?

Decrease rates

<1%

No change

98%

Decrease rates

<1%

No change

98%

$1m Vol.

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3rd largest company end of January? card icon

3rd largest company end of January?

Apple

72%

Alphabet

21%

Apple

72%

Alphabet

21%

$379k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

29%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

29%

$1m Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

3%

1 (25 bps)

10%

0 (0 bps)

3%

1 (25 bps)

10%

$2m Vol.

Number of TSA passengers January 10? card icon

Number of TSA passengers January 10?

<1.8m

2%

1.8-1.9m

8%

<1.8m

2%

1.8-1.9m

8%

$61k Vol.

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Fed rate cut by...? card icon

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting

4%

March Meeting

38%

January Meeting

4%

March Meeting

38%

$111k Vol.

Number of TSA passengers January 12 - January 18? card icon

Number of TSA passengers January 12 - January 18?

<14.25m

8%

14.25-14.5m

12%

<14.25m

8%

14.25-14.5m

12%

$14k Vol.

repeat-3daily
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? card icon

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

5%

chance

$141k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
How many jobs added in January? card icon

How many jobs added in January?

<0

5%

0-25k

19%

<0

5%

0-25k

19%

$13k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Largest Company end of March? card icon

Largest Company end of March?

NVIDIA

76%

Alphabet

17%

NVIDIA

76%

Alphabet

17%

$584k Vol.

repeat-3monthly
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) card icon

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Cut–Cut–Pause

96%

Cut–Cut–Cut

4%

Cut–Cut–Pause

96%

Cut–Cut–Cut

4%

$583k Vol.

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What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee? card icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 11

<1%

January 12

4%

January 11

<1%

January 12

4%

$175k Vol.

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar) card icon

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Cut–Pause–Pause

69%

Cut–Pause–Cut

29%

Cut–Pause–Pause

69%

Cut–Pause–Cut

29%

$384k Vol.

repeat-3daily