Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation tightly around the mid-2% range, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.3%, 2.1%-2.3% at 37.4%, and 2.7%-2.9% at 36.9%, reflecting April 2026's headline YoY rate accelerating to 2.6%—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices from Middle East tensions—versus 2.2% in March. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, aligning with Bank of Korea's 2.0% target and revised 2.2% full-year forecast, but recent data has fueled upside risks amid robust semiconductor-led growth near 2%. Competitive dynamics hinge on May CPI (due soon), oil price trajectory, and the BoK's May 29 policy meeting, where rate hike signals could tilt odds higher if pressures persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.6%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,067 Vol.
$11,067 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
37%
3.0%+
27%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 38.6%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,067 Vol.
$11,067 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,136 Vol.
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Vol.
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
$108 Vol.
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Vol.
36%
2.4% to 2.6%
$145 Vol.
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
$134 Vol.
37%
3.0%+
$8,428 Vol.
27%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation tightly around the mid-2% range, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.3%, 2.1%-2.3% at 37.4%, and 2.7%-2.9% at 36.9%, reflecting April 2026's headline YoY rate accelerating to 2.6%—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices from Middle East tensions—versus 2.2% in March. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, aligning with Bank of Korea's 2.0% target and revised 2.2% full-year forecast, but recent data has fueled upside risks amid robust semiconductor-led growth near 2%. Competitive dynamics hinge on May CPI (due soon), oil price trajectory, and the BoK's May 29 policy meeting, where rate hike signals could tilt odds higher if pressures persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$11,067End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation tightly around the mid-2% range, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.3%, 2.1%-2.3% at 37.4%, and 2.7%-2.9% at 36.9%, reflecting April 2026's headline YoY rate accelerating to 2.6%—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices from Middle East tensions—versus 2.2% in March. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, aligning with Bank of Korea's 2.0% target and revised 2.2% full-year forecast, but recent data has fueled upside risks amid robust semiconductor-led growth near 2%. Competitive dynamics hinge on May CPI (due soon), oil price trajectory, and the BoK's May 29 policy meeting, where rate hike signals could tilt odds higher if pressures persist.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$11,067End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation tightly around the mid-2% range, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.3%, 2.1%-2.3% at 37.4%, and 2.7%-2.9% at 36.9%, reflecting April 2026's headline YoY rate accelerating to 2.6%—a 21-month high driven by surging petroleum prices from Middle East tensions—versus 2.2% in March. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, aligning with Bank of Korea's 2.0% target and revised 2.2% full-year forecast, but recent data has fueled upside risks amid robust semiconductor-led growth near 2%. Competitive dynamics hinge on May CPI (due soon), oil price trajectory, and the BoK's May 29 policy meeting, where rate hike signals could tilt odds higher if pressures persist.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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