South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 24.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 11.8%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
12%
2.4% to 2.6%
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 24.5%
2.1% to 2.3% 11.8%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$2,448 Vol.
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
$2,323 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,474 Vol.
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,055 Vol.
12%
2.4% to 2.6%
$4,290 Vol.
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
$4,993 Vol.
33%
3.0%+
$11,633 Vol.
29%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$31,215End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$31,215End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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