Skip to main content

Unemployment predictions & odds

·
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$387K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

38%

4.3%

$508 Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

$6.3K Vol.

$995 Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

32%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$3.3K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↓ 0.08

$2.0K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

68%

Up

$25.1K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

41%

100k – 150k

$386 Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↑ 0.0034

$107K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Solana hit in May?

What price will Solana hit in May?

34%

↓ 80

$1M Vol.

$106K today

$343K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

89%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 2 months

What price will BNB hit in May?

What price will BNB hit in May?

69%

↑ 700

$21.4K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

55%

↑ 48

$62.6K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

6%

None in 2026

$43.0K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

51%

↓ 75,000

$16M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends in 17 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

89%

↑ $3.00

$191K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

80%

↓ 50

$23.2K Vol.

$16 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$257 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

97%

$715

$0 Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

18%

$19.7K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by May 31?

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by May 31?

26%

↓ 40

$2.8K Vol.

$28 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Unemployment.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Unemployment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Unemployment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.