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Economic Policy predictions & odds

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Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$26M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

69%

0 (0 bps)

$26M Vol.

$669K today

$1M Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$5M Vol.

$158K today

$297K Liq.

101

Ends in about 4 hours

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

91%

No change

$5M Vol.

$134K today

$574K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

85%

25 bps Increase

$231K Vol.

$72.6K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

57%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$131K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$61.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

97%

No Change

$96.7K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

74%

Decrease

$121K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

33%

$1M Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

31%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$152K Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

66%

25 bps increase

$101K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

78%

No Change

$27.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

90%

No change

$10.8K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

32%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$139K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

91%

$111K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

83%

No change

$103K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$1M Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

12%

$27.9K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

43%

December 31

$317K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economic Policy.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economic Policy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed Decision in June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed rate hike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economic Policy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.