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US strikes Iran by...?
January 11
4%
January 12
12%
$9m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
36%
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
31%
$97m Vol.
Another US strike on Venezuela on...?
January 9
<1%
January 10
$3m Vol.
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
18%
$2m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
40%
chance
Yes
No
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3%
$11m Vol.
Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?
January 16
January 31
11%
$4m Vol.
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
January 17
$1m Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14%
$6m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
84%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
50%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
47%
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
27%
$911k Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
60%
$967k Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
March 31
7%
$12m Vol.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
81%
New People (NL)
8%
$631k Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
32%
$986k Vol.
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
VVD + CDA + D66
93%
VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66
2%
$26m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
15%
$8m Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
1%
$704k Vol.
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