Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended repeatedly since Russia's 2022 invasion, constitutionally bars presidential elections until lifted, anchoring trader consensus at 84.5% against Zelenskyy exiting office by year-end. Zelenskyy reiterated in March 2026 that polls require a full ceasefire and security guarantees, ruling out votes amid active hostilities, with parliament endorsing further 90-day extensions into mid-2026. No verified resignation signals or leadership challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite criticism over his legitimacy post-2024 term expiry. Absent de-escalation, peace talks, or abrupt health/legal developments, traders see structural barriers preserving his tenure through 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
$2,145,270 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Ongoing martial law in Ukraine, extended repeatedly since Russia's 2022 invasion, constitutionally bars presidential elections until lifted, anchoring trader consensus at 84.5% against Zelenskyy exiting office by year-end. Zelenskyy reiterated in March 2026 that polls require a full ceasefire and security guarantees, ruling out votes amid active hostilities, with parliament endorsing further 90-day extensions into mid-2026. No verified resignation signals or leadership challenges have emerged in recent weeks, despite criticism over his legitimacy post-2024 term expiry. Absent de-escalation, peace talks, or abrupt health/legal developments, traders see structural barriers preserving his tenure through 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions