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Putin predictions & odds

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

45%

December 31

$189K Vol.

$189K today

$379K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$125K today

$208K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

61%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$77.3K today

$428K Liq.

189

Ends in 4 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

88%

No meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$237K Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

95%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$149K Liq.

11

Ends in 4 months

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

69%

December 31

$120K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

11%

$146K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

90%

$129K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

24

Ends in 17 days

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

13%

December 31

$891K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

11

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

127

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

20%

$458K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

11%

December 31

$425K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

19%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

88

Ends in about 2 months

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

7

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

16%

$12.9K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$16.7K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

36%

December 31

$791K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

4%

$1M Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$665K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

21

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Putin.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Putin that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to United Russia (ER). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Putin predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.