Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
>99% chance
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
>99% chance
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$263,480End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$263,480End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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