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Nuclear predictions & odds

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US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

12%

$543K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

56%

$1M Vol.

$120K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

27%

$2M Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

$191K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$37.2K Liq.

7

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$592K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$665K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

21

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs

Nuclear TigeRES

$7.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

19%

$22.8K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

28

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

85%

Tariff

$414K Vol.

$307K today

$152K Liq.

25

Ends in 1 day

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

83%

Covid

$65.2K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 1 day

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$6.7K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

9%

$598K Vol.

$64.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

44%

December 31, 2027

$477K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

33

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

23%

$1M Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$958K Vol.

$118K today

$199K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

6%

$603K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nuclear.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Nuclear that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nuclear predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.